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Cyburbian
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Lets play a game of what if...
Several local economists, including one that has gotten it right almost every year for the past 15, predict that we will have a significant economic downturn the second half of 2024 and corporations will need to restructure and layoff staff due to costs. They cite everything from increase product and shipping costs, to health insurance costs, to the effects of inflation, to increased staffing costs.
IF this becomes reality, who do you think wins the election?
I firmly believed that if the Democrats nominate a more centrist (and younger) candidate in stead of sticking with Biden, they would blow everyone else out of the water, and that includes Trump...
A lot of "experts" have been predicting a full blown recession for almost 2 years now. Eventually someone will be right but the economy as we traditionally know it has changed drastically. You never had high inflation, low unemployment like we've seen. There are things you can do in the short-term (like drastically cut taxes) but eventually you have to pay the piper which is how people get elected but they don't stay elected that way. So basically I'm saying I have no freaking idea how the economy will or will not impact the election.
I find it beyond amusing that the party that espouses equality and inclusiveness to the point of hysteria is behind the oldest white guy to ever run for president. I honestly don't think he's capable, both physically and mentally for another 4 years. The fact that no one has risen in the Democratic Party to be a viable option should be what keeps up the party faithful at night. Harris has been an utter failure and is essentially MIA on all issues. These last three years would have been perfect to groom her for the presidency by having her lead on the issues that matter to people. There has been no serious work on immigration, criminal justice etc. Just finger pointing as usual so the lines of division keep getting deeper and the distrust keeps growing. I don't think we've even scratched the surface of how bad it's going to get in this country.